Prediction of water consumption of Ban Bo Kaeo community by mathematical modeling (Thai)

Abstract

This research aims to study and create a mathematical model to predict the water consumption of Ban Bo Kaeo community Samoeng, Chiang Mai. There are 115 households within an area of approximately 13 square kilometers. By analyzing the relationship of data statistically and mathematically, models are created for the population and irrigated cultivated land growth. The models are validated and compared with actual data from five years ago. The prediction of population and irrigated cultivated land are input data for the water demand and consumption model to predict water consumed domestically and used for irrigation over the next 10 years. The models indicatethat there willbeincreasesof7.82and63.76percent fordomesticandirrigation waterconsumption, respectively, from thepresentfigures.