Tests of Technical Trading Strategies with Different Asset Conditions in the Emerging Markets: Case Study of Thailand SET50 Index
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Abstract
Many researchers have applied technical trading methods to observe the likelihood of profitability from trading stocks in different stock markets around the world. However, the performance of the technical trading indicators for outperforming the buy and hold strategy is still in doubt. Different factors such as different stock markets and different technical trading indicators play a crucial role in different results for profitability. This paper investigates the profitability of the moving average, commodity channel index (CCI), and Bollinger bands indicators performing on 19 stocks, which were listed consistently from 2007 to 2017 in the Thailand SET50 Index with different asset conditions. Sixteen sets of asset conditions are constructed from the volume and volatility of stocks and trading period. According to our study, Bollinger band bottom reversal and CCI trend reversal trading strategies outperform the buy and hold strategy for all asset conditions. However, moving average trading rules perform better than the buy and hold strategy for the following asset conditions: high volatility stock, low or high volatility of trading period, low volume of stock, and low volume trading period. This study helps to show why some traders use technical trading strategies to trade stocks on Thailand SET50 index.
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The manuscript submitted for publication must be the original version, submitted only to this particular journal with no prior acceptance for publication elsewhere in other academic journals. The manuscript must also not violate the copyright issue by means of plagiarism.
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