ยุทธศาสตร์อินโดแปซิฟิกของสหรัฐฯ เพื่อใคร ?

ผู้แต่ง

  • ปราณี ทิพย์รัตน์ -

บทคัดย่อ

วัตถุประสงค์ของบทความชิ้นนี้คือ  ประการแรก ยุทธศาสตร์อินโด-แปซิฟิกภายใต้ทรัมป์และไบเดนนั้นเป็นความต่อเนื่องในนโยบายต่างประเทศของสหรัฐฯ ต่อภูมิภาคดังกล่าว ทั้งในแง่ของการทวงคืนความเป็นผู้นำในภูมิภาค และในแง่ของการสกัดกั้นการขยายอำนาจและบทบาทของจีนในช่วงที่สหรัฐฯลดบทบาทของตนเองในภูมิภาคนี้ไปตั้งแต่การสิ้นสุดของสงครามเย็นเป็นต้นมา ประการที่สอง เพื่อแสดงให้เห็นว่า ไม่ว่าจะเป็นนโยบายหวนคืนสู่เอเชีย-แปซิฟิกของโอบามาหรือยุทธศาสตร์อินโด-แปซิฟิกของทรัมป์และไบเดน ภายใต้พรรครีพับลิกันหรือพรรคเดโมแครต สาระสำคัญของยุทธศาสตร์ดังกล่าวก็คือเป็นนโยบายที่สนองตอบต่อผลประโยชน์แห่งชาติของสหรัฐฯ ในทางเศรษฐกิจและทางความมั่นคงของสหรัฐฯ ทั้งสิ้น และประการที่สาม เพื่อวิเคราะห์ความแตกต่างของยุทธศาสตร์อินโด-แปซิฟิกโดยเฉพาะนโยบายด้านเศรษฐกิจและผลกระทบ หรือมรดกที่เป็นรูปธรรมของประธานาธิบดี โอบามา ประธานาธิบดี ทรัมป์ และ ประธานาธิบดีไบเดน ที่มีต่อความมั่งคั่งและความมั่นคงของประชาชนอเมริกัน

References

(2019). “ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific.” ASEAN. Retrieved from https://asean.org/asean2020/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/ASEAN-Outlook-on-the-Indo- Pacific_FINAL_22062019.pdf.

(2022). “ASEAN-U.S. Special Summit, 2022 Joint Vision Statement.” ASEAN. Retrieved from https://asean.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Final-ASEAN-US-Special-Summit-2022- Joint-Vision-Statement.pdf.

(2022). Office of the US Trade Representative. Retrieved from http://ustr.gov/sites/default/files/2022-09/4-Year%20Review%20FRN%20090222.pdf.

(2023). Lowy Institute Asia-Power Index. Retrieved from https://power.lowyinstitute.org/.

Armstrong, Shiro. (2015). The Race to a Risky Trans-Pacific Partnership Deal. Retrieved from https://eastasiaforum.org/2015/07/26/the-race-to-a-risky-trans-pacific-partnership-deal/.

Bown, P. Chad. (2023). U.S.-China Trade War Tariffs: An Up-to-Date Chart. Retrieved from https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2019/us-china-trade-war-tariffs-date-chart.

Bown, P. Chad., and Kolb, Melina. (2013). Trump’s Trade War Timeline: An Up-to-Date Guide. Retrieved from https://www.piie.com/blogs/trade-and-investment-policy- watch/2018/trumps-trade- war-timeline-date-guide.

Bureau of Economic Analysis U.S. Department of Commerce. (2023). Balance of Payments and Direct Investment Position Data 1980 – 2022. Retrieved from https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/?reqid=2&step=1&isuri=1&_gl=1*1vkjvm6*_ga*MTExMjMyNTc 5NS4xNzA3Mjg4MzA3*_ga_J4698JNNFT*MTcwNzI5MDg0Ni4yLjAuMTcwNzI5MDg0Ni42MC4w LjA.#eyJhcHBpZCI6Miwic3RlcHMiOlsxLDIsMyw0LDUsNywxMF0sImRhdGEiOltbIlN0ZXAxUHJ vbXB0MSIsIjIiXSxbIlN0ZXAxUHJvbXB0MiIsIjEiXSxbIlN0ZXAyUHJvbXB0MyIsIjEiXSxbIlN0ZXAz UHJvbXB0NCIsIjIyIl0sWyJTdGVwNFByb21wdDUiLCIxMCJdLFsiU3RlcDVQcm9tcHQ2IiwiMSwyI l0sWyJTdGVwN1Byb21wdDgiLFsiMTEsMTIsMTMsMTQsMTUsMTYsMTcsMTgsMTksMjAsMjEs MjIsMjMsMjQsMjUsMjYsMjcsMjgsMjksMzAsMzEsMzIsMzMsMzQsMzUsMzYsMzcsMzgsMzksND AsNDEsNDIsNDMsNDgsNDksNTIsNTUsNTYsNTgsNjAsNjEsNjUsNjYiXV0sWyJTdGVwOFByb21w dDlBIixbIjIiXV0sWyJTdGVwOFByb21wdDEwQSIsWyIxIl1dXX0=.

Campbell, Kurt. (2011). U.S. Engagement in Asia. Public Lecture organized by the Institute of Security and International Studies (ISIS) Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.

Chatzky, Andrew., McBride, James., and Sergie, A. Mohammed. (2020). NAFTA and the USMCA: Weighing the Impact of North American Trade. Retrieved from https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/naftas-economic-impact.

Cimino-Isaacs, D. Cathleen., Kitamura H. Kyla., and Manyin E. Mark. (2023). Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF). Retrieved from https://crsreports.

congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF12373.

Cooper, R. Clarke. (2020). Aligning Arms Sales in the Indo-Pacific with U.S. Great Power Competition Objectives. Retrieved from https://2017-2021.state.gov/remarks-by-r- clarke-cooper-assistant-secretary-to-the-foundation-for-the-defense-of-democracies-on- aligning-arms-sales-in-the-indo-pacific-with-u-s-great-power-competition-objectives/.

Congressional Research Service. (2009). The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act 2009 (P.L.111-5): Summary and Legislative History (R40537). Retrieved from https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R40537.

Defense Security Cooperation Agency. (2022). Historical Sales Book: Fiscal Years 1950-2022. Retrieved from https://www.dsca.mil/sites/default/files/202301/FY%202022%

Historical%20Sales%20Book.pdf.

Department of Defense. (2018). Summary of the 2018 National Defense Strategy of the United States of America: Sharpening the American Military’s Competitive Edge. Retrieved from https://dod.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2018-National- Defense-Strategy-Summary.pdf.

Department of State. (2019). A Free and Open Indo-Pacific: Advancing a Shared Vision. Retrieved from https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/Free-and-Open- Indo-Pacific-4Nov2019.pdf.

Dolven, Ben., and Vaughn, Bruce. (2020). Indo-Pacific Strategies of U.S. Allies and Partners: Issues for Congress (R46217). Retrieved from https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/

pdf/R/R46217.

East West Center., U.S.- ASEAN Business Council., and ISEAS. (2017). ASEAN Matters for America America Matters for ASEAN. Third Edition, Retrieved from https://asiamattersforamerica.org/uploads/publications/2017-ASEAN-Matters-for- America.pdf.

Fergusson, F. Ian., and Williams, R. Brock. (2016). The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP): Key Provisions and Issues for Congress. Retrieved from https://sgp.fas.org/crs/

row/R44489.pdf.

Glossman, Brad. (2015). America’s TPP Dilemmas. Retrieved from https://pacforum.org/

publications/pacnet-20-americas-tpp-dilemmas/.

Gould, Elise., and Kroeger, Teresa. (2016). The Obama Legacy, Creating More, Better Jobs. Retrieved from https://www.epi.org/blog/the-obama-legacy-creating-more-better-jobs/.

Green, J. Michael., and Cooper, Zack. (2014). “Revitalizing the Rebalance: How to Keep U.S. Focus on Asia,” Washington Quarterly 37,3: 25-46l.

Haenle, Paul. (2022). From Trump to Biden: Indo-Pacific Strategies Compared. East Asian Institute (EAI) Background Brief No. 1668. Retrieved from https://research.nus.edu.sg/eai/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/03/EAIBB-No.-1668- Trump-to-Biden_-Indo-Pacific_Strategy-2-1.pdf.

Holpuch, Amanda. (2021). “US Could Have Averted 40% of Covid Deaths, Says Panel Examining Trump’s Policies,” The Guardian. Retrieved from https://www.theguardian.com/usnews/2021/feb/10/us-coronavirus-response-donald- trump-health-policy.

Jackson, K. James. (2016). The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP): Analysis of Economic Studies (R44551). Retrieved from https://sgp.fas.org/crs/row/R44551.pdf.

Jun, Y. Chang., and Jenne, Nicole. (2020). “RIMPAC is about Defence, not just Diplomacy,

” East Asia Forum, Retrieved from https://eastasiaforum.org/2020/08/29/rimpac-is- about-defence-not-just-diplomacy/.

Khan, Wajahat., and Ken, Moriyasu. (2020). “U.S. Arms Sales in Indo-Pacific pick up as China Tensions Build,” Nikkei Asia. Retrieved from https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/

International- relations/US-arms-sales-in-Indo-Pacific-pick-up-as-China-tensions-build.

Lemahieu, Hervé., and Leng, Alyssa. (2021). Asia Power Index: Key Findings 2021, Lowy Institute, Retrieved from https://power.lowyinstitute.org/downloads/lowy-institute- 2021-asia-power-index-key-findings-report.pdf.

Lincicome, Scott. (2020). Grading Trump’s Economic Policies. Retrieved from https://www.cato.org/commentary/grading-trumps-economic-policies.

Manak, Inu. (2023). Unpacking the IPEF: Biden’s Indo-Pacific Trade Play. Retrieved from https://www.cfr.org/article/unpacking-ipef-bidens-indo-pacific-trade-play

Manyin et.al. (2012). Coordinator. Pivot to the Pacific? The Obama Administration’s ‘Rebalancing’Towards Asia (R42448). Retrieved from https://sgp.fas.org/crs/natsec/R42448.pdf

Meeks, W. Gregory. (2021). The Build Back Better World Partnership Could Finally Break the Belt and Road. Retrieved from https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/06/28/the-build-back- better- world-partnership-could-finally-break-the-belt-and-road/.

Murray, Mark. (2016). “Then vs Now: A Statistical Look at Obama’s Presidency.” NBC News. Retrieved from https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/then-vs-now- statistical- look-obama-s-presidency-n692181.

Nanto, K. Dick. (2008). East Asian Regional Architecture: New Economic and Security Arrangements and U.S. Policy. Retrieved from https://sgp.fas.org/crs/row/RL33653.pdf.

Office of the United States Trade representative. (2023). Fact Sheet: In 2023, Ambassador Tai and USTR Advanced President Biden’s Economic Agenda Through Inclusive Trade Policies. USTR. Retrieved from https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/press- releases/2023/december/fact-sheet-2023-ambassador-tai-and-ustr-advanced-president- bidens-economic-agenda-through-inclusive.

Palmer, Doug. (2016). “Clinton raved about Trans-Pacific Partnership before she rejected it.” Politico. Retrieved from https://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/hillary-clinton-trade- deal-229381.

Pompeo, R. Michael. (2018). America’s Indo-Pacific Economic Vision. Indo-Pacific Business Forum, in U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Washington, D.C. Retrieved from https://2017- 2021.state.gov/secretary-pompeo-addresses-the-indo-pacific-business-forum/.

Rajagopalan, P. Rajeswari. (2023). “Malabar Exercise Brings Quad Navies Together in Australia,” The Diplomat. Retrieved from https://thediplomat.com/2023/08/malabar-exercise- brings- quad-navies-together-in-australia/.

Roberts, Dan., and Felton, Ryan. (2016). “Trump and Clinton’s Free Trade Retreat: A Pivotal Moment for the World’s Economic Future,” The Guardian. Retrieved from https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/aug/20/trump-clinton-free-trade-policies- tpp.

Runde, F. Daniel., and Bandura, Romina. (2018). The BUILD Act Has Passed: What’s Next?. Retrieved from https://www.csis.org/analysis/build-act-has-passed-whats-next.

Savoy, M. Conor., and McKeown, Shannon. (2022). Opportunities for Increased Multilateral Engagement with B3W. Retrieved from https://www.csis.org/analysis/opportunities- increased-multilateral-engagement-b3w.

Sharma, Ashok. (2023). The Malabar Exercise Bolsters Quad Group Amid Growing Strategic Challenge in the Indo-Pacific. Retrieved from https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/ australianoutlook/the-malabar-exercise-bolsters-quad-group-amid-growing-strategic- challenge-in-the-indo-pacific/.

Statista. (2019). The U.S.-China Trade War: A Brief Recap, Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/chart/16280/china-us-trade/.

. (2023). Military Spending by Region 2023. Retrieved from https://www.statista.com

/statistics/272490/military-spending-by-region/.

Stone, Will. (2021). “On Trump’s Last Full Day, Nation Records 400,000 Deaths.” KFF Health News. Retrieved from https://kffhealthnews.org/news/nation-records-400000-covid- deaths-on-last-day-of-donald-trump-presidency/.

Sutter M. K. (2021). U.S.-China Trade Relations, Retrieved from https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11284/12.

The Department of Defense. (2019). Indo-Pacific Strategy Report: Preparedness, Partnership, and Promoting a Networked Region. Retrieved from https://media.defense.gov/2019/Jul/01/2002152311/-1/-1/1/DEPARTMENT-OF-DEFENSE- INDO-PACIFIC-STRATEGY-REPORT-2019.PDF.

The White House. (2010). National Security Strategy (NSS) 2010. Retrieved from https://www.ojp.gov/ncjrs/virtual-library/abstracts/national-security-strategy-may-2010.

. (2011). President Obama Addresses the Australian Parliament, Canberra. Retrieved from https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2011/11/17/remarks- president-obama-australian-parliament.

. (2012). National Defense Strategy 2012: Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense. Retrieved from https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/ pdfs/ADA554328.pdf.

. (2015). National Security Strategy 2015. Retrieved from https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2015_national_security_st rategy2.pdf

. (2016). Joint Statement of the U.S.-ASEAN Special Leaders’ Summit: Sunnylands Declaration. Retrieved from https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press- office/2016/02/16/joint-statement-us-asean-special-leaders-summit-sunnylands- declaration.

. (2017). National Security Strategy of the United States of America. Retrieved from https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18- 2017-0905.pdf.

. (2017a). Presidential Memorandum Regarding Withdrawal of the United States from The Trans-Pacific Partnership Negotiations and Agreement Retrieved from https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/presidential-actions/presidential-memorandum- regarding-withdrawal-united-states-trans-pacific-partnership-negotiations-agreement/.

. (2018). Remarks by Vice President Pence on the Administration’s Policy Toward China, Washington, D.C. Retrieved from https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings- statements/remarks-vice-president-pence-administrations-policy-toward-china/.

. (2021). Fact Sheet: President Biden and G7 Leaders Launch Build Back Better World (B3W) Partnership. Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing- room/statements-releases/2021/06/12/fact-sheet-president-biden-and-g7-leaders-launch- build-back-better-world-b3w-partnership/.

. (2021a). Trump Administration Accomplishments (pp. 9-10). Retrieved from https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/trump-administration-accomplishments/.

. (2022). Indo-Pacific Strategy of the United States. Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/U.S.-Indo-Pacific-Strategy.pdf.

. (2022a). National Security Strategy. Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp- content/uploads/2022/10/Biden-Harris-Administrations-National-Security-Strategy- 10.2022.pdf.

. (2022b). Fact Sheet: In Asia, President Biden and a Dozen Indo-Pacific Partners Launch the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF). Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/05/23/fact-sheet- in-asia-president-biden-and-a-dozen-indo-pacific-partners-launch-the-indo-pacific- economic-framework-for-prosperity/.

. (2022c). FACT SHEET: President Biden and G7 Leaders Formally Launch the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment. Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/06/26/fact-sheet- president-biden-and-g7-leaders-formally-launch-the-partnership-for-global-infrastructure- and-investment/.

. (2023). Fact Sheet: Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGI) Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF) Investor Forum. Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/11/16/fact- sheet-partnership-for-global-infrastructure-and-investment-pgi-indo-pacific-economic- framework-for-prosperity-ipef-investor-forum/.

Thorbecke, Catherine. (2021). “A Look at Trump’s Economic Legacy.” ABCNews. Retrieved from https://abcnews.go.com/Busuness/trumps-economic-legacy/story?id=74760051.

U.S. Department of State. (2012). Hillary Rodham Clinton’s Remarks at Techport Australia. Retrieved from https://2009- 2017.state.gov/secretary/20092013clinton/rm/2012/11/200565.htm.

. (2021). Remarks by President Biden on America’s Place in the World. Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2021/02/04/remarks- by-president-biden-on-americas-place-in-the-world/.

. (2023). Marking One Year Since the Release of the Administration’s Indo-Pacific Strategy (Fact Sheet). Retrieved from https://www.state.gov/marking-one-year-since- the-release-of-the-administrations-indo-pacific-strategy/

. (2023a). Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity Agreement Relating to Supply Chain Resilience, San Francisco. Retrieved from https://www.state.gov/wp- content/uploads/2024/03/IPEF-Supply-Chain-Agreement.pdf

Weller, Christian. (2017). “The Truth about Obama’s Economic Legacy and Trump’s Inheritance.” The Conversation. Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/the-truth- about-obamas-economic-legacy-and-trumps-inheritance-73889.

Williams, R. Brock. (2020). Trump Administration Tariff Actions: Frequently Asked Questions (R45529). Retrieved from https://sgp.fas.org/crs/row/R45529.pdf.

Downloads

เผยแพร่แล้ว

2023-12-31 — Updated on 2024-05-30

Versions