The impact of laws enforcement on the fish landings at Pattani fishery port by using SARIMA with intervention model.
Keywords:
Fishery in Thailand, Economic Effect, Enforcement Cost, Intervention analysis, IUU fishingAbstract
The “yellow card” issued by the European Union forced Thai government to improve and enforce laws to resolve the problem of the illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing in Thailand. The improvements and enforcements of the fishing laws have directly affected the production activities in the fishery sector. This study applied the SARIMA with intervention model to assess the impact of law enforcement on the fishery sector in Pattani, which is indicated by changes in commercial fish landings at Pattani fishing port. The result shows that since the order 10/2558 of the National Council for Peace and Order has entered into enforce, the landings have decreased by about 1,444.7 tons per month. This reveals the impact that the entrepreneurs in the fishery sector and other economic sectors in Pattani have to face.
References
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Box, G. E. P. and Tiao, G. C. (1975) “Intervention analysis with applications to economic and environmental problem”. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 70(349), 70-79.
Chantavanich, S., Jarayabhand, P., Tingsabadh, C., Sittitrai, W., Yothinneeranath, P., Kuikaew, P., Makcharoen, P. and Neelapaichit, K. (2017) The report of Policy Development on the Problems of Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated Fishing, Forced Labour and Human Trafficking in Sea Fisheries in 2016. Asian Research Center of Migration, Chulalongkorn University. (in Thai)
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Hare, S. R. and Francis, R. C. (1994). “Climate change and salmon production in the northeast Pacific Ocean”, Canadian Special Publication Fisheries and Aquatic Science. 121. 357-372.
Hue, H. T. T., Pradit, S., Lim, A., Goncalo, C. and Nitiratsuwan, T. (2018) “Shrimp and fish catch landing trends in Songkhla lagoon, Thailand during 2003-2016”. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research. 16(3), 3061-3078.
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MGR Online. (2018, November 27) “The committee of the Pattani Fisheries Association indicates that the 300 regulations issued by the government are not able to lift ICC yellow flag”. Manager Online. Retrieved from https://mgronline.com/politics/detail/9610000118219. (in Thai)
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Sathiananda, T. V., Kuriakose, S., Mini K. G. and Joji T. V. (2006) “Impact of introduction of crafts with outboard engines on marine fish production in Kerala and Karnataka – a study through Intervention analysis”. Indian Journal of Fisheries, 53 (3), 271-282.
Sethasathien, Kanit. (1999) “The environmental problems and solutions ”. Chiang Mai University Journal of Economics. 3(2), 4-27. (in Thai)
Snitwong Na Ayudhya, P. and Krueanuan, C. (2018)“The effect of enforcement of the measure for solving the illegal unreported and unregulated on the community-based fisheries: A case study of Trad Bay, Trad Province”. Journal of Politics, Administration and Law. 10(2), 399-424. (in Thai)
Tammapiban-udom, K. (2015) “Legel measures to prevent human rights infringement in the product supply chain: a focus on Thai fishery industry”. Thammasat Business Law Journal, 5, 118-128.
Wipatayotin, A. (2019, August 24) “Small fishing operators caught in EU dragnet”. Bangkok Post. Retrieved from https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/1735947/caught-in-eu-dragnet
United Nations. (2015) “Transforming Our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”. The General Assembly. Retrieved from https://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol= A/RES/70/1&Lang=E
Boonyubol, M. and Pronokchuitma, S. (1982). Trawl fisheries in the Gulf of Thailand: ICLARM Translation 4. International Center for Living Aquatic Resources Management, Manila, Philippines.
Box, G. E. P. and Tiao, G. C. (1975) “Intervention analysis with applications to economic and environmental problem”. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 70(349), 70-79.
Chantavanich, S., Jarayabhand, P., Tingsabadh, C., Sittitrai, W., Yothinneeranath, P., Kuikaew, P., Makcharoen, P. and Neelapaichit, K. (2017) The report of Policy Development on the Problems of Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated Fishing, Forced Labour and Human Trafficking in Sea Fisheries in 2016. Asian Research Center of Migration, Chulalongkorn University. (in Thai)
Department of Fisheries. (2015a). The Conclusion of the Thailand’s Progress on combating IUU fishing. Bangkok: Department of Fisheries, Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives. Retrieved from http://news.fisheries.go.th/filemanage/ctclip/74.doc. (in Thai)
Department of Fisheries. (2015b). Marine Fisheries Management Plan of Thailand- A National Policy for Marine Fisheries Management 2015-2019. Bangkok: Department of Fisheries, Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives.
Department of Fisheries. (2018). Fisheries Trade Statistics of Thailand 2018. Bangkok: Department of Fisheries, Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives. (in Thai)
Department of Fisheries. (2019). Fisheries Statistics of Thailand 2017. Bangkok: Department of Fisheries, Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives. (in Thai)
Fish Marketing Organization. (2016). Fisheries Record 2016. Bangkok.
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. (2019). FAO yearbook. Fishery and Aquaculture Statistics 2017. Rome.
Gerami, M. H. and Rabbaniha, M. (2018) “Forecasting the anchovy Kilka fishery in the Caspian Sea using a time series approach”. Turkish Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Science, 18, 1288-1292.
Hare, S. R. and Francis, R. C. (1994). “Climate change and salmon production in the northeast Pacific Ocean”, Canadian Special Publication Fisheries and Aquatic Science. 121. 357-372.
Hue, H. T. T., Pradit, S., Lim, A., Goncalo, C. and Nitiratsuwan, T. (2018) “Shrimp and fish catch landing trends in Songkhla lagoon, Thailand during 2003-2016”. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research. 16(3), 3061-3078.
Jeha, N. (2015, October 4) “The plight of fishermen as IUU fishing regulation bites”. Isaranews. Retrieved from https://www.isranews.org/content-page/67-south-slide/41803-boat_41803.html
Komontree, P., Tongkumchum, P. and Karntanut, W. (2006) “Trends in marine fish catches at Pattani Fishery Port (1999-2003)”. Songklanakarin Journal of Science and Technology. 28(4), 887-895.
Lloret, J., Lleonart, J. and Sole, I. (2000). “Time series modelling of landings in Northwest Mediterranean Sea”. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 57,171-184.
Marine Fisheries Research and Development Bureau. (2011). Annual Report 2011. Bangkok. (in Thai)
Marine Fisheries Research and Development Bureau. (2017). Annual Report 2017. Bangkok. (in Thai)
MGR Online. (2015, June 26) “Pattani industrial president indicates that almost 30 fisheries factories are going to close, warning government to improve the regulation on the fishery fleets registration”. Manager Online. Retrieved from https://mgronline.com/south/detail/9580000072446.
(in Thai)
MGR Online. (2018, November 27) “The committee of the Pattani Fisheries Association indicates that the 300 regulations issued by the government are not able to lift ICC yellow flag”. Manager Online. Retrieved from https://mgronline.com/politics/detail/9610000118219. (in Thai)
National Council for Peace and order (2015) “Order of the Head of the National Council for Peace and order (NCPO) No.10/2558 Subject: Action against Illegal Unreported and Unregulated fishing”. Royal Thai Government Gazette, Vol.132 Part 99d (Special Issue), 1-8. (in Thai)
Panayotou, T. and Jetanavanich, S. (1987). The Economics and Management of Thai Marine Fisheries: ICLARM Stuides and Reviews 14. International Center for Living Aquatic Resources Management, Manila, Philippines and Winrock International Institute for Agricultural Development, Arkansas, USA.
Phothisai, A. (2017) “Thailand’s measures against illegal fishing and the important principle of IUU fishing” Chunlaniti, 14(4), 149-162. (in Thai)
Raman, R. K., Sathianandan, T. V., Sharma, A. P. and Mohanty, B. P. (2017) “Modelling and forecasting marine fish production in Odisha using seasonal ARIMA model”. National Academy Science Letters, 40(6), 393-397.
Royal Thai Government (2015), “Fisheries Act B.E. 2558”. Royal Thai Government Gazette, Vol.132 Part 34a, 1-26. (in Thai)
Royal Thai Government (2015) “Royal Ordinance on Fisheries B.E. 2558 ”. Royal Thai Government Gazette, Vol.132 Part 108a, 1-45. (in Thai)
Sathiananda, T. V., Kuriakose, S., Mini K. G. and Joji T. V. (2006) “Impact of introduction of crafts with outboard engines on marine fish production in Kerala and Karnataka – a study through Intervention analysis”. Indian Journal of Fisheries, 53 (3), 271-282.
Sethasathien, Kanit. (1999) “The environmental problems and solutions ”. Chiang Mai University Journal of Economics. 3(2), 4-27. (in Thai)
Snitwong Na Ayudhya, P. and Krueanuan, C. (2018)“The effect of enforcement of the measure for solving the illegal unreported and unregulated on the community-based fisheries: A case study of Trad Bay, Trad Province”. Journal of Politics, Administration and Law. 10(2), 399-424. (in Thai)
Tammapiban-udom, K. (2015) “Legel measures to prevent human rights infringement in the product supply chain: a focus on Thai fishery industry”. Thammasat Business Law Journal, 5, 118-128.
Wipatayotin, A. (2019, August 24) “Small fishing operators caught in EU dragnet”. Bangkok Post. Retrieved from https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/1735947/caught-in-eu-dragnet
United Nations. (2015) “Transforming Our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”. The General Assembly. Retrieved from https://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol= A/RES/70/1&Lang=E
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2020-06-30
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