STUDY OF ECONOMIC FACTORS AND SITUATION OF COVID-19 PANDEMIC THAT AFFECT THE INSURANCE BUSINESS IN THAILAND
Main Article Content
Abstract
This study is quantitative research to study the economic variables such as the Consumer confidence index, SET index, interest rates, exchange rate between the baht and dollar, the volume of investment in foreign securities, volume of investment by institutional Investors, volume of registered cars, minimum labor cost and crude oil price, and factors of the Covid 19 virus crisis that affect the operating results of insurance businesses listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and The Office of Insurance Commission (OIC) which are studied from secondary data every quarter from the 1st quarter of 2020 until the 4th quarter of 2022.
The research found factors affecting the performance of insurance and life insurance businesses listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and the Office of the Insurance Commission. At the significance level of 0.01, there are 5 variables: the consumer confidence index, the SET index, the volume of investment in foreign securities, the volume of registered cars, crude oil price, and factors of the Covid 19 situation. In addition, from examining the appropriateness of the multiple regression analysis, it was found that There is a test statistic value of 1155.979 with a statistical significance of 0.01. The adjustment coefficient (Adjust R2) is equal to 0.8690. Built-in correlation. (Autocorrelation) equals 2.0125.
Article Details
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
References
ดอน นาครทรรพ. (2565) ธนาคารแห่งประเทศไทย, การฟื้นตัวแบบรูปตัว K ของเศรษฐกิจไทย:ในวิกฤตยังมีโอกาส. สืบค้นจาก https://www.bot.or.th/th/research-and-publications/articles-and-publications /articles/Article_31May2021.html
สมาคมประกันชีวิต. (2565). รายงานประจำปีสมาคมประกันชีวิตไทย. สืบค้นจาก https://www.tlaa.org/download/ file/TLAA%20AR%202022%20Final.pdf
สำนักงานเศรษฐกิจการคลัง กระทรวงการคลัง. (2566). ประมาณการเศรษฐกิจไทยปี 2565 และ 2566. สืบค้นจาก https://www.fpo.go.th/main/Economic-report/Thailand-Economic-Projections/17411.aspx
สำนักงานเศรษฐกิจการคลัง กระทรวงการคลัง. (2566). รายงานภาคธุรกิจประกันภัยไตรมาส 1 ปี 2566. สืบค้นจาก https://www.fpo.go.th/main/Economic-report/Financial-Results/18092-(1).aspx
Techsauce Team. (2565). FairDee อินชัวร์เทคไทย ปิดระดมทุน Series B กว่า 65 ล้านเหรียญ จากกลุ่มนักลงทุนเดิม และรายใหม่. สืบค้นจาก https://techsauce.co/news/fairdee-series-b-with-qoala-by-eurazeo
Chen, M. H., Jang, S. S., & Kim, W. G.. (2007). The impact of the SARS outbreak on Taiwanese hotel stock performance: an event-study approach. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 26(1), 200-212. doi:10.1016/j.ijhm.2005.11.004
Cohen, J., Cohen P., West, S.G., & Aiken, L.S.. (2002). Applied multiple regression/correlation analysis for the behavioral sciences (3rd ed.). Psychology Press.
David R. Bellhouse. (2009). Karl Pearson's Influence in the United States. International Statistical Review, 77(1), 51-63. doi:/10.1111/j.1751-5823.2009.00066.x
Dvorsky J.,Gavurova, B., Čepel, M., Červinka, M. (2020). Impact of selected economic factors on the business environment: The case of selected east european countries. Polish Journal of Management Studies, 22(2), 96-110. doi:10.17512/pjms.2020.22.2.07
Mackinlay & A. Craig. (1997), The influence of market conditions on event-study residuals. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 22(3), 345–351. doi:10.2307/2330968.
Wanichbancha, K. (2007). Multivariate analysis (2nd ed.). Bangkok: Thammasarn Co. Ltd. (in Thai)
World Health Organization: WHO. (2020). Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Dashboard, Retrieved 20 December 2023, from https://data.who.int/dashboards/covid19/cases?n=c.