“一带一路” 背景下对外贸易对中国各省份 全要素生产率的影响研究
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.sidebar##
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.main##
摘要
本文基于中国 30 个省份，以“一带一路”提出的 2013 年前后五年即 2008-2018 年为研究的时间维度，应用双重差分模型，实证检验了“一带一路”背景下对外贸易对中国各省市的全要素生产率或技术进步的影响。研究发现，“一带一路”倡议对于中国各省市全要素生产率有显著促进作用，而对外贸易则对全要素生产率有显著较小的抑制作用，这一抑制作用在东部地区表现较为显著；整体分析之后，本文通过对中国进行区域的划分进行地区异质性分析及作用机制分析，“一带一路”倡议通过促进技术进步正向影响中西部地区 TFP 增长率，而对东部地区的促进作用则是通过对纯技术效率的正向影响；对外贸易对地区全要素生产率的负向作用主要通过影响技术进步实现，同时通过促进规模效率正向作用于中西部地区全要素生产率的提升。最后结合实证结果，提出相应的政策建议，对新时代中国各省份的经济高质量发展提供一些思路。
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##
Chinese Journal of Social Science and Management Editorial Division
The Office of Research and Development, Panyapiwat Institute of Management
85/1 Moo 2, Chaengwattana Rd., Bang Talat, Pakkred, Nonthaburi 11120, Thailand
Tel. 02 855 01048 E-mail: cjssm@pim.ac.th
参考
Birdsall, N., & Wheeler, D. (1992). Trade policy and industrial polution in Latin America: Where are the pollution havens. International Trade and the Environment, (159), 159-168.
Chen, G., & Fan, S. S. (2016). The impact of “One Belt and One Road” strategy on total factor productivity in countries along the routes. Statistics & Decision, 32(23), 116-119.
Cheng, Z. H., & Chai, Y. L. (2021). Transportation infrastructure, foreign trade and total factor productivity. East China Economic Management, 35(5), 91-99.
Deng, X., Zhu, G. F., & Li, D. S. (2017). Human capital, trade openness, and regional total factor productivity: Based on GML index and systematic GMM method. Inquiry into Economic Issues, 38(8), 1-8.
Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1991). Innovation and growth in the global economy. The MIT Press.
Gu, G. D., & Guo, A. M. (2013). An analysis of the effect difference of international trade on China’s interregional economic efficiency--Based on the double effect of technology spillover and technology convergence. Journal of Business Economics, 33(10), 81-87.
Halpern, L., Koren, M., & Szeidl, A. (2015). Imported inputs and productivity. American Economic Review, 105(12), 3660-3703.
Han, J., Liu, R. j., & Zhang, J. S. (2015). The impact of opening up on China’s collection and distribution--An empirical test of the effects of the “Southern Talks” and “WTO Accession”. Social Sciences in China, 35(2), 24-40.
Ho, C., Wang, W., & Yu, J. (2018). International knowledge spillover through trade: A time－Varying spatial panel data approach. Economics Letiers, 162, 30-33.
Jiang, N. P., He, P., & Chen, J. Z. (2018). China’s foreign direct investment and technological innovation: From the perspective of factor market distortion. Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics, 38(8), 99-112.
Li, J. W., & Gang, C. C. (2016). Research on the dynamic relationship between China’s foreign trade and economic development quality and efficiency based on panel SVAR model. Journal of Xi’an Institute of Finance & Economics, 29(2), 117-124.
Mao, Q. L., & Sheng, B. (2011). External economic opening, regional market integration and total factor productivity. China Economic Quarterly, 11(1), 182-211.
Shan, H. J. (2008). Estimation of China’s capital stock K: 1952-2006. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 25(10), 17-31.
Yang, Z. C., & Deng, X. (2016). Measurement and interpretation of total factor productivity at provincial level in China: Based on provincial panel data from 1986 to 2014. Journal of Commercial Economics, 35(11), 136-138.
Zhang, T., & Wang, L. K. (2016). Analysis of the impact of opening up and independent R&D on total factor productivity: A comparative study based on inter-provincial panel data. Price: Theory & Practice, 36(3), 140-143.
Zheng, Q. (2017). Does foreign direct investment promote the growth of total factor productivity in home country: An empirical test based on the threshold model of financial development? Journal of International Trade, 43(7), 131-141.
